Sunday, August 28, 2016

The 'Saudi Nukes' Saga

Media attention to the matter has been waxing and waning for a numbers of years now, but only in a rather submissive and off the cuff way. Could something really be cooking in this regard? Let's see.

At the beginning of November 2013, early reports surfaced that the Saudis might be trying to develop  nuclear capabilities. Hence, on Nov 6/7 The Guardian, the BBC and the Daily Mail carried articles raising a number of flags suggesting alleged Saudi efforts could be receiving assistance from Pakistan, whose nuclear program, the Sauds reportedly financed. However, two weeks later, Zachary Keck responded that there was no way the Pakis would sell the Saudis the bomb.

A little less than two years later, March 26, 2015, the Saudi Ambassador to the United States went on air on CNN to deny any allegation of capability and even intent:


On June 11, just as the Saudi Ambassador to the United Kingdom was telling The Telegraph that "all options are on the table", no less than Fareed Zakaria penned an Op-ed for the Washington Post debunking the rumours, and arguing that Saudi could never even dream of getting nukes, because just too primitive. Zakaria followed up with a GPS take on CNN to reinforce those points. However, asked to comment on these views, John Burgess, a former US Foreign Service Officer with experience of the Middle East, underscored the aforementioned Saud-Pak connection (June 20, 2015). In June 2015, Zachary Keck even evoked a potential North Korea connection??

Fast-forward to 2016: in an interview with The Independent in January, the Saudi foreign minister is evasive and ambivalent regarding Saudi intentions to acquire nuclear weapons, and on the 20th day of February, Duane Clarridge a former Senior CIA officer drops the bombshell: The Saudis already HAVE SEVERAL nukes:


Six days later, the confirmation: SAUDI ARABIA HAS NUCLEAR WEAPONS, and they've had them for about two years. Approximatively, this would mean they obtained them around February 2014. Comparing timelines, it is likely, therefore, that the November 2013 early reports had picked up on something serious. 


For further reading, Norman Cigar of the Strategic Studies Institute published an interesting bookSaudi Arabia and Nuclear WeaponsHow Do Countries Think about the Bomb?  was released in March 2016.



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